You see a Key Concept, one of the most important principles according to which the world in general and the world of people operate.
These concepts are referenced throughout the Patterns series, including the Patterns for Victory series and Us or Them!. A concise summary and two or three key examples are provided at the beginning of each volume. See other key reconceptualizations.
The sage observes Heaven but does not help it.
Zhuang Zi
Fundamentally, every human activity is in some way linked to the ability to predict the future. This is the case with agricultural work, which requires an understanding, or at least a careful recording, of weather changes and the progression of the seasons. Even simple plants have evolutionarily developed mechanisms for recognizing the optimal moment for germination. This is due to the situational awareness mechanism of the Earth's orbital motion – please forgive my deliberately facetious phrasing. Germination is triggered by a chemical mechanism activated by the lengthening daylight hours in spring.
Already in the Observation and Orientation phase, the field for trickery and stratagems begins. How common this activity is in the world of investment and primordial nature! Take, for example, the hunting tactics of the black heron, native to Africa.
Wading in the shallows, the heron creates an umbrella with its wings, casting a shadow on the water. This allows the heron to see what's underwater. But it also attracts prey – small fish, which like the shadow because, hidden in it, they can more easily spot an approaching predator.
When delving into ancient Chinese scriptures, it's impossible not to come across the Book of Changes. A "rational" person will be put off by its being called a book of fortune-telling. This was initially the case with me.
The Book shows how two complementary forces, Yin and Yang, transform in constant oscillation and in accordance with the Supreme Universal Principle, the Dao – hence Taoism is the name of both a philosophy and a religion. But the Book of Changes, although most people indeed treat it mystically, turns out to be a perfectly rational guide to perceiving the laws and patterns of the Universe. Events and phenomena oscillate or change their intensity at their own rhythm. This is the case with the seasons, the daily cycle, the aging of organisms, the combat readiness of armies, economic cycles. Everything.
A person attuned to these laws, meaning someone who has collected data on past events (Observation) and unearthed regularities "buried in tons of data" (laws of physics, laws of economic cycles, laws of human nature, etc.), is able to build a model of future changes in the state of affairs (Orientation) and adapt their actions accordingly.
The veil of mysticism conceals a completely rational guide to adapting to the rhythm of oscillation of various parameters of world phenomena. If these parameters are normalized and harnessed into mathematical and physical formulas, we obtain a set of tools we call the scientific method.
Let's summarize the Holy Men's favorite philosophy of action, the philosophy of "non-action," with a joke-paradox. How humorously conceals a profound truth about human nature or the nature of the world we live in:
How many Zen masters does it take to screw in a light bulb?
None. The universe spins the light bulb, and the Zen master steps aside.